Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.252464 0.292443 0.338155 0.394606 0.462877 0.543319 0.646080
2025-08-31 0.186434 0.235810 0.298742 0.386145 0.506494 0.669567 0.912882
2025-09-07 0.154786 0.208641 0.282995 0.395948 0.568338 0.830553 1.278358
2025-09-14 0.129358 0.182724 0.260932 0.388195 0.598877 0.951101 1.626064
2025-09-21 0.113660 0.167049 0.249393 0.391706 0.645151 1.107574 2.097431
2025-09-28 0.100775 0.153093 0.237337 0.390656 0.681767 1.256447 2.620585
2025-10-05 0.092718 0.145319 0.233559 0.402394 0.743911 1.474137 3.406240
2025-10-12 0.085546 0.137823 0.228771 0.410841 0.801257 1.701453 4.350366
2025-10-19 0.079296 0.130963 0.223873 0.417783 0.856978 1.945731 5.506666
2025-10-26 0.074637 0.126250 0.222091 0.430490 0.929085 2.260357 7.131910
2025-11-02 0.069597 0.120174 0.216740 0.434414 0.981313 2.544016 8.903756
2025-11-09 0.064828 0.114026 0.210347 0.434723 1.024597 2.821776 10.938018
2025-11-16 0.060157 0.107649 0.202848 0.431632 1.059899 3.098477 13.331525
2025-11-23 0.055633 0.101100 0.194190 0.424324 1.082159 3.346529 15.940492
2025-11-30 0.053111 0.098293 0.193156 0.435782 1.164053 3.862011 20.994145
2025-12-07 0.049355 0.092555 0.184933 0.427174 1.181229 4.135130 24.961890
2025-12-14 0.046855 0.089193 0.181641 0.431137 1.241434 4.633544 31.847934
2025-12-21 0.044256 0.085364 0.176798 0.429963 1.284273 5.086176 39.611709
2025-12-28 0.042750 0.083754 0.176979 0.443150 1.384134 5.902067 54.093476
2026-01-04 0.041138 0.081747 0.175946 0.452646 1.474479 6.751551 72.978294
2026-01-11 0.039552 0.079649 0.174431 0.460455 1.562031 7.674348 98.474375
2026-01-18 0.038389 0.078406 0.174922 0.474755 1.683674 8.951972 140.766238
2026-01-25 0.036846 0.076134 0.172489 0.479173 1.764685 10.050598 190.596426